Georgia:
Georgia:
Cook Political Report:
Baldwin County (polls close 19:00 ET / 00:00 GMT):
- Rural county with a significant Black population and two colleges.
- Democrats have held it since 2004 but margin has shrunk in recent years – with Hilary winning by +1.7 points in 2016 and Biden by just 1.3 points in 2020
- If Trump wins Baldwin County, it would be an ominous sign for Harris’s effectiveness in turning out Black and young voters in the state.
Fayette County (polls close 19:00 ET / 00:00 GMT):
- Atlanta suburbs. Peachtree City, Georgia remains heavily white while the rest of Fayette County has gained Black residents at a dizzying clip.
- But both parts of this county in Atlanta’s southern suburbs have trended blue as white college graduates who live in the county have moved away from the GOP and the racial makeup here has become more diverse.
- Romney won it by 31 points in 2013, Trump won by 19 points in 2016 but only 7 in 2020
- Harris likely needs to come close to winning the county to offset setbacks elsewhere.
BlondeMoney:
Gwinnett County (SAFE DEM):
Gwinnet voted Republican in 2008 and 2012. However, amidst a population boom, Democrats have thrived here since then.
- Clinton won by 6% pts in 2016, and Biden increased that to 18% pts in 2020.
- Gwinnet is majority non-white. Harris' turnout amongst key demographics will be key
Clayton (SAFE DEM):
Nearly 70% of this county's population is black.
- There are not many better tests of Harris' ability to turn out black voters - an issue her campaign has really targeted in recent weeks.
Hall (SAFE REPUBLICAN): - A small county that Trump will win easily, but a good one for indicating Republican turnout.
- The 28% Latino population here is also significant for Trump, who has been polling well with Latino men