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Key counties to watch in the Swing States are therefore:
Key counties to watch in the Swing States are therefore: Georgia: Baldwin County, Fayette County, Gwinnett County, Clayton County, Hall County North Carolina: Cabarrus County, Nash County, Wake County, Henderson County Michigan: Muskegon County, Saginaw County, Wayne County, Kent County Pennsylvania: Bucks County, Cumberland County, Northampton County, Erie County ( Wisconsin:
Nevada
Nevada Washoe County (polls close 22:00 ET / 03:00 GMT): * Washoe’s electorate is more college-educated and less diverse than Clark County (about 32% of its voters are white college graduates vs. 21% in Clark) * If Trump cuts into Democrats’ typical margins in Las Vegas, Harris will need a
Wisconsin
Wisconsin Sauk County (polls close 21:00 ET / 02:00 GMT): * has emerged as a much-monitored bellwether for the state as a whole. * Non-college whites make up about 70% of the electorate, one of the highest shares of any county in the state Biden carried in 2020. * If Harris narrowly
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania Cook Political Report: Bucks County (polls close 20:00 ET / 01:00 GMT): * Trump chose Bucks County for his appearance at a McDonalds drive through and it represents his best chance to make progress in the Philly suburbs * non-college-educated whites make up about 50% of the electorate — much higher
Michigan
Michigan Cook Political Report: Muskegon County (polls close 20:00 ET / 01:00 GMT): * increasingly cosmopolitan Grand Rapids metro area has driven West Michigan’s Democratic vote growth in recent years * However, this blue-collar manufacturing hub along Lake Michigan has seen Democrats’ margins decline * About 63% of the county’s
North Carolina:
North Carolina: Cook Political Report: Cabarrus County (polls close 19:30 ET / 00:30 GMT) * County has undergone a rapid demographic metamorphosis in the past decade: in 2010, it was 72% white. As of 2022, it was just 59% white and 21% Black, 12% Hispanic and 6% Asian. * It voted
Georgia:
Georgia: Cook Political Report: Baldwin County (polls close 19:00 ET / 00:00 GMT): * Rural county with a significant Black population and two colleges. * Democrats have held it since 2004 but margin has shrunk in recent years – with Hilary winning by +1.7 points in 2016 and Biden by just
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But we can get more funky and start to look at individual counties in the swing states – to give us some colour on what way they may be swinging. Axios note this morning: * In 2016, more than 200 counties that had voted for former President Obama in 2012 turned red
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Remember each state is made up of multiple counties (represented by the House Seats) and watching as these come in can give a flavour of how things may progress. * Networks will take this into account and if (for example) the 13% of votes yet to be counted in the above